The west has a new industry. It is the booming business of calculating geopolitical risk. Glance around the world at the fires burning in the Middle East, at Russia’s march into Ukraine and the tensions in East Asia fuelled by China’s rise, and it is easy to see why. These conflicts and collisions are more than an unhappy coincidence. The end of history has made way for the era of systemic disorder.
西方出現了一個新行業——蒸蒸日上的地緣政治風險評估生意。環顧世界，中東戰火不斷、俄羅斯入侵烏克蘭以及中國崛起加劇東亞緊張局勢，造成這種局面的原因不難理解。這些沖突與碰撞不僅僅是令人遺憾的巧合。歷史的終結已讓位給系統性混亂的時代。
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