Forecasts this week by the World Bank revived a prediction often made down the years: that growth in one of the Asian emerging market behemoths, India, would outdo that in the other, China. If this comes to pass, the correct reaction would be: about time too. And while in the medium term it would mainly reflect their relative positions in the economic cycle, sustaining it over a longer period will require Narendra Modi’s government in Delhi to play as good a liberalisation game as it talks.
世界銀行(World Bank)最近發表預測,作為亞洲新興市場大國之一的印度,經濟增長率將超越另一新興市場大國——中國。這是個老掉牙的預測,如果此次得以應驗,那么正確的反應大概是:也該到時候了。在中期內,印度增長率超過中國可能主要反映出兩國在經濟周期中的相對位置,但假如印度想在長期內維持這一地位,就需要納倫德拉?莫迪(Narendra Modi)領導下的印度政府在自由化改革中做得跟說得一樣好了。