Following its sixth consecutive downgrade of global economic performance, the International Monetary Fund’s World Economic Outlook again projects a recovery around the corner. The government shutdown aside, news from the US has been encouraging; despair on the eurozone is abating; and the Chinese slowdown has been orderly. Green shoots have appeared before, only to disappoint. Might this time be different?
在連續(xù)六次下調(diào)對全球經(jīng)濟表現(xiàn)的預(yù)測之后,國際貨幣基金組織(IMF)的《世界經(jīng)濟展望》(World Economic Outlook)又一次預(yù)計全球經(jīng)濟將在不久之后復(fù)蘇。除了政府關(guān)門以外,來自美國的消息總體令人感到振奮;籠罩歐元區(qū)的絕望情緒正在減退;而中國的經(jīng)濟增速放緩也并未引發(fā)亂象。經(jīng)濟復(fù)蘇的跡象以前也曾出現(xiàn)過,但只給人們帶來了失望。這一次情況是否會有所不同呢?