John Maynard Keynes, who never tried to conceal that he knew more than most people, also knew the limits to his knowledge. He wrote “about these matters – the prospect of a European war, the price of copper 20 years hence – there is no scientific basis on which to form any calculable probability whatever. We simply do not know.”
凱恩斯(John Maynard Keynes)認為自己知道的比大多數人都多,而且他從不掩飾這個看法,但他也知道,自己所知有限。他曾寫道:“歐洲會不會爆發戰爭、20年后的銅價是多少錢,這樣的問題無法依據科學的理論、通過計算得出概率性結果。我們根本不知道。”
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