Developing nations will undoubtedly be powerful before they are really rich. The population imbalance – about 6bn in middle and lower income countries, 1bn in developed economies – means these countries will still be relatively poor when they account for the majority of the world’s gross domestic product and resource use. That conclusion is inescapable. The question is: when will the economic balance tip?
發展中國家先要強大,隨后才能真正富裕起來,這一點毋庸置疑。人口失衡意味著發展中國家即使在全球國內生產總值(GDP)和能源使用上占據多數份額,也仍然相對貧窮。這是一個無法逃脫的結論。目前中低收入國家有60億人口,而發達經濟體只有10億人口。問題在于:經濟平衡何時會被打破?
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